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Morocco has established itself as a major player in global fruit markets, yet a new OECD-FAO report warns the kingdom must balance export success with domestic food security needs to ensure sustainable agricultural development through 2034.
The “OECD-FAO Agricultural Outlook 2025-2034” highlights Morocco’s strategic positioning alongside Egypt in meeting growing international fruit demand. The report confirms Morocco’s successful integration into global agricultural value chains, particularly through its robust fruit export capacity that capitalizes on expanding world trade opportunities.
International agrifood commerce has demonstrated remarkable resilience against multiple disruptions, with projections indicating continued intensification that benefits dynamic exporters like Morocco. The kingdom’s modern agricultural sector has effectively linked to global economic dynamics, securing its place among leading fruit suppliers.
However, the report raises critical concerns about Morocco’s agricultural strategy. While pursuing export-oriented growth, the kingdom appears insufficiently focused on rebalancing local food production systems. This approach potentially increases vulnerability to external shocks and mounting pressures on natural resources.
The broader outlook projects 14 percent growth in global agricultural, fisheries, and aquaculture production by 2034, driven primarily by productivity gains in middle-income countries. The report emphasizes reconciling food security with environmental sustainability, noting productivity improvements can reduce greenhouse gas emission intensity.
For Morocco, the challenge lies in establishing a roadmap ensuring agriculture becomes more productive, resilient, and sustainable. Success requires balancing lucrative export opportunities with local food security imperatives, particularly as low-income countries face continued caloric deficits when domestic production flows predominantly to export markets rather than feeding local populations.
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